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Stocks finished lower Tuesday after a Federal Reserve official said the central bank could cut interest rates this year but that the process should be "carefully calibrated and not rushed." Benchmark Treasury yields rose to settle at 4.064%, its highest afternoon level of the year so far. In bank stocks: Morgan Stanley fell after reporting quarterly results, while PNC wavered. Shares of leading U.S.-listed Chinese companies fell, with the Invesco Golden Dragon China exchange-traded fund down nearly 4%. Chinese Premier Li Qiang on Tuesday sought to reassure investors about opportunities in his country.
Persons: Stocks, Dow industrials, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Tesla, Elon Musk, Yemen's Houthi, Li Qiang Organizations: Federal Reserve, PNC, Boeing, Spirit Airlines, JetBlue, Oil, Shell, Benchmark Locations: China
Stock Market Today: Dow Slips 350 Points; Bank Earnings in Focus
  + stars: | 2024-01-16 | by ( ) www.wsj.com   time to read: +1 min
Stocks turned lower Tuesday after a Federal Reserve official said the central bank could cut interest rates this year but that the process should be "carefully calibrated and not rushed." In Europe, pushback on imminent rate cuts from European Central Bank officials and news that the German economy shrank last year weighed on markets. An index of bank shares fell. Shares of leading U.S.-listed Chinese companies fell, with the Invesco Golden Dragon China exchange-traded fund down 3%. EV company Nio's ADRs were down 8%; Baidu, the owner of China’s largest internet search engine, and e-commerce giant JD.com slid about 4%.
Persons: Stocks, Dow industrials, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Tesla, Elon Musk, Yemen's Houthi, Nio's ADRs Organizations: Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, PNC, Boeing, Shell, Benchmark, EV, Nio's, Baidu Locations: Europe, China
Chinese stock markets have failed to perform in 2023. All three major indexes have lost money for investors over the past week, month, three months, six months, and year. As a result, shorting the Chinese currency has been one of the most profitable investments this year, according to analysis by CNBC Pro of FactSet's ETF performance data. CNBC Pro screened for global China-focused ETFs that have posted positive returns this year to date. A weighted average analysts' price target for companies in the ETF points toward a further 22.4% upside over the next 12 months, according to FactSet data.
Persons: Thierry Wizman, Goldman Sachs, Brent Organizations: Shenzhen Component, Shanghai, Index, U.S, CNBC Pro, Singapore ., London Stock Exchange, U.S ., Macquarie, People's Bank of, China Energy, New York Stock Exchange, bbl, Goldman, Dragon, China Communication Services Locations: Shenzhen, China, New York, London, Amsterdam, Frankfurt, Singapore, People's Bank of China, Macquarie, Dragon China, U.S
Hong Kong CNN —China has promised to throw its weight behind private businesses, just days after a slew of economic data showed growth momentum had slumped. The measures include promises to break down barriers to market access for private firms, to “fully implement” a system of fair competition and to strengthen enforcement of anti-monopoly laws. “We believe that the … pivot from the top level is real, but it’s not enough to bring back the animal spirit among private companies,” Larry Hu, chief China economist at Macquarie Group, wrote in a research note. That pledge had marked a major shift from leader Xi Jinping’s years-long effort to rein in private businesses, which were perceived as too powerful and disorderly. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index closed 0.7% higher, after falling in several previous trading sessions.
Persons: , Larry Hu, Xi Jinping’s, Premier Li Qiang, Li, , Ma, Lei Jun Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Communist Party, State Council, Macquarie Group, , Investment, Premier, Alibaba, Tencent, Nasdaq, Dragon Locations: Hong Kong, China, Beijing, New York, Dragon China, Shanghai
Recent data shows that China is also contending with worse-than-expected consumer spending, slowing manufacturing and weak home sales. What it means for markets: US-based companies doing business in China stand to lose if the economy continues on a downward trajectory. Qualcomm (QCOM), with a 67% exposure rate to China, issued disappointing forward guidance during earnings last month, citing China’s slow recovery. JD.com (JD), one of the largest Chinese companies trading in the United States, has fallen by nearly 36% this year. The air purifier market is poised to grow as climate change increases air pollution and exacerbates breathing difficulties.
Persons: That’s, China —, Capvision, China Nicholas Burns, , Goldman Sachs, Dow, JD.com, Morgan Stanley, Goldman, Ayaz Ebrahim, CARR, Johnson, Ivan Menezes, Diageo, Menezes ’, Menezes, King Charles III, Debra Crew, Johnnie Walker, Ivan, Javier Ferrán, “ Ivan Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, International Monetary Fund, Factories, Bain, Group, Micron Technology, Nasdaq, Apple, Intel, Starbucks, Nike, Bank of America, Las, Qualcomm, Nvidia, Wynn Resorts, WYNN, MGM Resorts, MGM, China . Companies, Dragon, Goldman Sachs Group, Nomura, Barclays, JPMorgan, Asia Pacific, Bloomberg, Google, Carrier Global, Johnson Controls, Economic Co, Diageo, India, Business, , Whisky Association, Northwestern University’s Kellogg School of Management Locations: New York, China, Washington, Beijing, United States, Hong Kong, Dragon China, Canada, Pune, India
HONG KONG, May 25 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Foreigners that once piled into offshore Chinese equities are evacuating as confidence in the country’s economic recovery sags. The China trade has always been unbalanced towards overseas-listed Chinese consumer and internet firms, and foreigners preferred building factories, acquiring large stakes in companies and the like over portfolio trading. Even at a peak in 2021, they held barely over 8 trillion yuan ($1.1 trillion) of yuan-denominated Chinese stocks and bonds, per official data, compared to $27 trillion of American equivalents. Now the former figure has fallen below 7 trillion yuan. Major Chinese indexes in Hong Kong and New York have also slid, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index having lost around 15% in the last three months.
Investors trimmed their exposure to China amid economic uncertainty in the country, rising geopolitical tensions and Beijing’s crackdown on international consulting firms. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index has lost more than 5% since April 18. Another concern for global investors is the country’s “fundamental investability,” he said, referring to geopolitical and Chinese policy risks. Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan, one of the world’s largest pension funds, has closed its Hong Kong-based China equity investment team. “The more cracks appear in Western economies,” the more global investors will need to put money into Chinese assets, he added.
Feb 24 (Reuters) - Shares of Chinese companies listed in the United States fell in early trading on Friday as reports that Washington was looking to expand the number of troops helping train Taiwanese forces added to rising Sino-U.S. tensions. The iShares China Large-Cap ETF slipped 2.9%, while KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF shed 2.8%. China's blue-chip CSI300 Index (.CSI300) closed 1% lower during Asia hours, while shares of aerospace defense companies jumped. Relations between the world's two largest economies worsened this month over the shooting down of the Chinese spy balloon, weighing on China ADRs after a sharp rally starting late last year. A multitude of factors weighed on China ADRs last year including a risk of delisting from U.S. exchanges over an audit dispute, trade friction and geopolitical worries.
The most crowded trade on Wall Street is "long China equities," according to the latest Bank of America Fund manager survey. Twenty-one percent of respondents to the February survey said that was the investment with the most enthusiasm... perhaps too much. Still, the "most crowded" trades in the survey, which is among the most followed on Wall Street, can stay that way for long stretches. Long China displaces "long U.S. dollar," which was the most crowded trade for the prior seven months in the survey. China equities traded in the U.S. were under pressure for a number of reasons, including the country's Covid lockdowns, as well as tighter scrutiny of its homegrown internet businesses.
London CNN —China’s swift reopening after nearly three years of strict coronavirus controls could provide a much-needed boost to global economic growth, but may also stoke inflation just as it has shown signs of falling back. The revival of the world’s second largest economy — and its biggest consumer of commodities — threatens to push up global prices for fuel, industrial metals and food this year. The speed of the reopening, as well as indications that infections may have already peaked, has been surprising, analysts told CNN. Yet, if global food and energy prices start rising again, that could feed through into higher consumer prices. China’s reopening could bump up demand for agricultural goods, while the world is still in the grips of the worst food crisis in modern history.
Since the start of November, hedge funds have been consistent net buyers of China equities for eight of the past 10 weeks, according to data from Morgan Stanley. After witnessing the massive rebound from the pandemic low in U.S. stocks, hedge funds are betting that the same scenario will play out in China as it tries to return to a pre-pandemic "normal" after ending most Zero Covid controls. Since November, 80% of hedge fund buying activity has come from hedge funds adding long positions in China, while 20% was from short covering, Morgan Stanley said. Investors getting in early on the trade are betting that China's economy will suffer a deeper — albeit shorter —setback. "Such a dramatic U-turn then implies deeper economic contraction in 4Q22 but also faster reopening and recovery in 2023."
New York CNN —Investors are holding their breath in anticipation of Thursday morning’s Consumer Price Index inflation report — arguably the most important piece of economic data so far this year. There’s a lot riding on the outcome — if inflation keeps falling, that could support a market rally, while higher-than-expected inflation could send stocks sinking. Asian stocks enter bull market as investors bet on ChinaUS stocks may be volatile, but in Asia markets are soaring. The retreat will likely cause Wells Fargo to lay off at least some employees, though the bank did not announce any specifics. The move comes as Wells Fargo continues to be in trouble with regulators.
The Chinese and Hong Kong flags flutter outside the Exchange Square complex in Hong Kong on Feb. 16, 2021. Asia-Pacific's leading index entered a bull market this week, fueled by a rally in Chinese stocks from optimism surrounding the nation's reopening and the weakening of the U.S. dollar on prospects of a pivot in the Federal Reserve. The MSCI Asia Pacific index hit a high of 162.33 on Tuesday – roughly 21% higher than its 52-week low of 133.93 reached on Oct. 24, according to Refinitiv data. A bull market is technically defined as a surge of 20% or more from recent lows. In regional equities, the Hang Seng index hit an intraday high of 21,470.69 on Monday, or 47% higher than the end of October.
Asian stocks enter bull market as investors bet on China
  + stars: | 2023-01-10 | by ( Anna Cooban | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
London CNN —Stocks in Asia are starting 2023 in a bull market. The rally has been driven by a rebound in investor sentiment towards Chinese stocks. The MSCI China index rose 2.4% on Tuesday to stand 50% above its low on October 31. Nasdaq’s Golden Dragon China index — which tracks Chinese companies listed in the United States — rose 0.72% on Monday, putting it 71.3% above where it was trading in late October. Investors have snapped up Chinese stocks as the country rapidly unwound its strict zero-Covid policy.
Premarket stocks: Bonds are back, but for how long?
  + stars: | 2023-01-09 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
New York CNN —Stocks soared on Friday to their best day in more than a month. But the big turnaround story during the short first week of the year isn’t just about equities, it’s also about bonds. Bonds are particularly sensitive to those increases — as rates are hiked, the price of existing bonds falls as investors prefer the new debt that will soon be issued with those higher interest payouts. This time around, investors are scooping up bonds as they anticipate the pace of Fed interest rate hikes will soon ease. Core bonds, or US investment grade debt, tend to perform well during Fed rate hike pauses.
Hong Kong CNN —Chinese tech giants are witnessing a dream start to the year. US-listed shares of Chinese e-commerce firms Alibaba (BABA), JD.com (JD) and Pinduoduo (PDD) added $53 billion to their combined market value on Wednesday. The surge comes as investors are feeling optimistic that Chinese regulators will go easy on tech firms this year and also introduce measures to boost growth in the industry. The change in sentiment comes after Jack Ma’s Ant Group won a key approval for capital expansion. Chinese tech companies have faced a sweeping regulatory crackdown since late 2020, which drove investors away.
What’s happening: Last year, Goldman Sachs analysts predicted that the S&P 500 would close out 2022 at 5,100 points. With those caveats, let’s get to Wall Street’s predictionsThe numbers: Forecasts for where the S&P 500 will finish 2023 vary greatly. Analysts overestimated the final value (that is, the final value finished below the estimate) in 13 of the 20 years and underestimated the final value (the final value finished above the estimate) in the other 7 years. They’re on track to have overestimated the performance of the S&P 500 in 2022 by nearly 40%. During this period, the S&P 500 has historically gained 1.3% on average, according to data from LPL Financial going back to 1950.
United Airlines — Shares rose 1% after Morgan Stanley upgraded United Airlines to overweight from equal weight, saying 2023 could be a "goldilocks" year for the airline stock. Silvergate Capital — Shares dipped 3% after Morgan Stanley downgraded Silvergate Capital to underweight from equal weight, saying a "high level of uncertainty" remains around the stock following the FTX collapse. Chinese tech stocks — Shares of Chinese internet stocks jumped in premarket trading after Beijing and Shenzhen reportedly further eased Covid restrictions. Johnson Controls International — Johnson Controls shares rose slightly after Deutsche Bank named it its top pick heading into 2023. The stock rose by more than 2%.
China's President Xi Jinping has tightened his grip on power — and that has rocked markets. Investors dumped Chinese stocks in a $6 trillion blowout as Xi shut reformers out of decision making. Spooked investors dumped Chinese stocks in a $6 trillion blowout Monday, according to Bloomberg data. Under Xi, the People's Bank of China has tended to favor softer yuan fixes, allowing the currency to depreciate. Alibaba, the largest US-listed Chinese stock by market value, fell 12% Monday, and about 46% this year so far.
It then pared losses, trading at 7.33 by 1 pm Hong Kong time. On Monday, Chinese stocks plummeted in Hong Kong and New York, wiping out billions of dollars in their market value. International investors spooked by the outcome of the Communist Party’s leadership reshuffle dumped Chinese assets despite the release of stronger-than-expected GDP data. “Foreign investors took action to cut their exposure on Chinese assets,” he said, adding that the Chinese currency was faced with mounting capital outflow pressure. The Chinese yuan, together with other major global currencies, has weakened rapidly against the dollar in recent months.
U.S.-listed Chinese stocks lost tens of billions of market value on Monday as investors weighed the outcome of the Chinese Communist Party’s national congress meeting over the weekend. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index, which tracks dozens of Chinese companies listed on American exchanges, fell more than 14% to its lowest closing level since April 2013, erasing $73.4 billion in market cap since Friday’s close through Monday, according to Dow Jones Market Data.
U.S.-listed Chinese stocks plunged to their lowest level in nearly a decade, losing tens of billions of dollars in market value on Monday, one day after President Xi Jinping secured a third term as leader of the Communist Party. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index, which tracks dozens of Chinese companies listed on American exchanges, fell more than 14% to its lowest close since April 2013, erasing $73.4 billion in market cap since Friday’s close through Monday, according to Dow Jones Market Data.
JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic called the Chinese sell-off "disconnected from fundamentals." "We believe this is a good opportunity to add given an expected growth recovery," he said. But JPMorgan chief global markets strategist Marko Kolanovic is unfazed by Monday's decline, calling the sell-off "disconnected from fundamentals" and a buying opportunity for investors in a Monday note. He is ultimately betting that the Chinese economy will experience a recovery in growth as the COVID-19 pandemic begins to fade. We believe this is a good opportunity to add given an expected growth recovery, gradual COVID reopening, and monetary and fiscal stimulus," he said.
Chinese internet giant Alibaba has said it will increase its share buyback program from $15 billion to $25 billion. The Invesco Golden Dragon China ETF, which tracks the Nasdaq Goldman Dragon China Index, plunged 20% to hit a new 52-week low. The index holds 65 companies whose common stocks are publicly traded in the U.S. and the majority of whose business is conducted within the People's Republic of China. Shares of Chinese companies listed in the U.S. dropped sharply Monday after Beijing tightened President Xi Jinping's grip on power, souring investor sentiment for non-state-driven companies. "Stocks based in the world's second largest economy are 'uninvestable' again," Bernstein sales trading desk's Mark Schilsky said in a note Monday.
Hong Kong CNN Business —Chinese stocks have hit multi-year lows in New York and Hong Kong amid growing concerns about China’s rising Covid cases and economic outlook. In Hong Kong, the benchmark Hang Seng (HSI) Index tumbled as much as 3% in Thursday’s morning trade. The fall comes just a day after the city’s leader, Chief Executive John Lee, promised to invest billions of dollars to bring global talent and businesses back to Hong Kong. The heavy decline followed a sharp sell-off in Chinese stocks listed on Wall Street overnight. “China’s National Party Congress failed to drive a positive catalyst, ” said Yeap Jun Rong, a market strategist for IG Group, on Thursday.
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